Fidesz lead growing, Fidesz leaders more popular
Turnout looks to be low and MSzP supporters are less committed and less optimistic about their chances of victory than Fidesz-MPSz supporters.
A Medián poll for HVG reveals that Fidesz-MPSz continues to ride high. According to the poll, amongst citizens of voting age, the MSzP’s support level has fluctuated between 23 and 27%, whilst Fidesz’s has moved between 31 and 35% over the past six months. At the beginning of July, Fidesz had a 35-27% lead.
At midsummer, less than half of voters say they are certain to vote. Amongst definite voters, the Fidesz lead widens to 15% (with a 47-32 lead over the Socialists). The difference is even more marked amongst definite voters with a party preference. Here, Fidesz leads 53-36%. In mid-2005 it seems that the SzDSz is the only smaller party with a chance of overcoming the 5% vote threshold required to gain parliamentary representation.
